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Author (up) Dezecache, C.; Salles, J.-M.; Herault, B. pdf  url
doi  openurl
  Title Questioning emissions-based approaches for the definition of REDD+ deforestation baselines in high forest cover/low deforestation countries Type Journal Article
  Year 2018 Publication Carbon Balance Manage. Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 13 Issue 21 Pages  
  Keywords Baseline; Deforestation; Guiana Shield; HFLD countries; Redd+; Reference level; Spatial modelling  
  Abstract Background: REDD+ is being questioned by the particular status of High Forest/Low Deforestation countries. Indeed, the formulation of reference levels is made difficult by the confrontation of low historical deforestation records with the forest transition theory on the one hand. On the other hand, those countries might formulate incredibly high deforestation scenarios to ensure large payments even in case of inaction. Results: Using a wide range of scenarios within the Guiana Shield, from methods involving basic assumptions made from past deforestation, to explicit modelling of deforestation using relevant socio-economic variables at the regional scale, we show that the most common methodologies predict huge increases in deforestation, unlikely to happen given the existing socio-economic situation. More importantly, it is unlikely that funds provided under most of these scenarios could compensate for the total cost of avoided deforestation in the region, including social and economic costs. Conclusion: This study suggests that a useful and efficient international mechanism should really focus on removing the underlying political and socio-economic forces of deforestation rather than on hypothetical result-based payments estimated from very questionable reference levels.  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher BioMed Central Ltd. Place of Publication Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 17500680 (Issn) ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number EcoFoG @ webmaster @ Serial 837  
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