@Article{Sullivan_etal2020,
author="Sullivan, M.J.P.
and Lewis, S.L.
and Affum-Baffoe, K.
and Castilho, C.
and Costa, F.
and Sanchez, A.C.
and Ewango, C.E.N.
and Hubau, W.
and Marimon, B.
and Monteagudo-Mendoza, A.
and Qie, L.
and Sonk{\'e}, B.
and Martinez, R.V.
and Baker, T.R.
and Brienen, R.J.W.
and Feldpausch, T.R.
and Galbraith, D.
and Gloor, M.
and Malhi, Y.
and Aiba, S.-I.
and Alexiades, M.N.
and Almeida, E.C.
and de Oliveira, E.A.
and D{\'a}vila, E.{\'A}.
and Loayza, P.A.
and Andrade, A.
and Vieira, S.A.
and Arag{\~a}o, L.E.O.C.
and Araujo-Murakami, A.
and Arets, E.J.M.M.
and Arroyo, L.
and Ashton, P.
and Aymard C., G.
and Baccaro, F.B.
and Banin, L.F.
and Baraloto, C.
and Camargo, P.B.
and Barlow, J.
and Barroso, J.
and Bastin, J.-F.
and Batterman, S.A.
and Beeckman, H.
and Begne, S.K.
and Bennett, A.C.
and Berenguer, E.
and Berry, N.
and Blanc, L.
and Boeckx, P.
and Bogaert, J.
and Bonal, D.
and Bongers, F.
and Bradford, M.
and Brearley, F.Q.
and Brncic, T.
and Brown, F.
and Burban, B.
and Camargo, J.L.
and Castro, W.
and C{\'e}ron, C.
and Ribeiro, S.C.
and Moscoso, V.C.
and Chave, J.
and Chezeaux, E.
and Clark, C.J.
and de Souza, F.C.
and Collins, M.
and Comiskey, J.A.
and Valverde, F.C.
and Medina, M.C.
and da Costa, L.
and Dan{\v c}{\'a}k, M.
and Dargie, G.C.
and Davies, S.
and Cardozo, N.D.
and de Haulleville, T.
and de Medeiros, M.B.
and del Aguila Pasquel, J.
and Derroire, G.
and Di Fiore, A.
and Doucet, J.-L.
and Dourdain, A.
and Droissant, V.
and Duque, L.F.
and Ekoungoulou, R.
and Elias, F.
and Erwin, T.
and Esquivel-Muelbert, A.
and Fauset, S.
and Ferreira, J.
and Llampazo, G.F.
and Foli, E.
and Ford, A.
and Gilpin, M.
and Hall, J.S.
and Hamer, K.C.
and Hamilton, A.C.
and Harris, D.J.
and Hart, T.B.
and H{\'e}dl, R.
and Herault, B.
and Herrera, R.
and Higuchi, N.
and Hladik, A.
and Coronado, E.H.
and Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, I.
and Huasco, W.H.
and Jeffery, K.J.
and Jimenez-Rojas, E.
and Kalamandeen, M.
and Djuikouo, M.N.K.
and Kearsley, E.
and Umetsu, R.K.
and Kho, L.K.
and Killeen, T.
and Kitayama, K.
and Klitgaard, B.
and Koch, A.
and Labri{\`e}re, N.
and Laurance, W.
and Laurance, S.
and Leal, M.E.
and Levesley, A.
and Lima, A.J.N.
and Lisingo, J.
and Lopes, A.P.
and Lopez-Gonzalez, G.
and Lovejoy, T.
and Lovett, J.C.
and Lowe, R.
and Magnusson, W.E.
and Malumbres-Olarte, J.
and Manzatto, {\^A}.G.
and Marimon, B.H.
and Marshall, A.R.
and Marthews, T.
and de Almeida Reis, S.M.
and Maycock, C.
and Melga{\c{c}}o, K.
and Mendoza, C.
and Metali, F.
and Mihindou, V.
and Milliken, W.
and Mitchard, E.T.A.
and Morandi, P.S.
and Mossman, H.L.
and Nagy, L.
and Nascimento, H.
and Neill, D.
and Nilus, R.
and Vargas, P.N.
and Palacios, W.
and Camacho, N.P.
and Peacock, J.
and Pendry, C.
and Pe{\~n}uela Mora, M.C.
and Pickavance, G.C.
and Pipoly, J.
and Pitman, N.
and Playfair, M.
and Poorter, L.
and Poulsen, J.R.
and Poulsen, A.D.
and Preziosi, R.
and Prieto, A.
and Primack, R.B.
and Ram{\'i}rez-Angulo, H.
and Reitsma, J.
and R{\'e}jou-M{\'e}chain, M.
and Correa, Z.R.
and de Sousa, T.R.
and Bayona, L.R.
and Roopsind, A.
and Rudas, A.
and Rutishauser, E.
and Abu Salim, K.
and Salom{\~a}o, R.P.
and Schietti, J.
and Sheil, D.
and Silva, R.C.
and Espejo, J.S.
and Valeria, C.S.
and Silveira, M.
and Simo-Droissart, M.
and Simon, M.F.
and Singh, J.
and Soto Shareva, Y.C.
and Stahl, C.
and Stropp, J.
and Sukri, R.
and Sunderland, T.
and Sv{\'a}tek, M.
and Swaine, M.D.
and Swamy, V.
and Taedoumg, H.
and Talbot, J.
and Taplin, J.
and Taylor, D.
and ter Steege, H.
and Terborgh, J.
and Thomas, R.
and Thomas, S.C.
and Torres-Lezama, A.
and Umunay, P.
and Gamarra, L.V.
and van der Heijden, G.
and van der Hout, P.
and van der Meer, P.
and van Nieuwstadt, M.
and Verbeeck, H.
and Vernimmen, R.
and Vicentini, A.
and Vieira, I.C.G.
and Torre, E.V.
and Vleminckx, J.
and Vos, V.
and Wang, O.
and White, L.J.T.
and Willcock, S.
and Woods, J.T.
and Wortel, V.
and Young, K.
and Zagt, R.
and Zemagho, L.
and Zuidema, P.A.
and Zwerts, J.A.
and Phillips, O.L.",
title="Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth{\textquoteright}s tropical forests",
journal="Science",
year="2020",
volume="368",
number="6493",
pages="869--874",
abstract="A key uncertainty in climate change models is the thermal sensitivity of tropical forests and how this value might influence carbon fluxes. Sullivan et al. measured carbon stocks and fluxes in permanent forest plots distributed globally. This synthesis of plot networks across climatic and biogeographic gradients shows that forest thermal sensitivity is dominated by high daytime temperatures. This extreme condition depresses growth rates and shortens the time that carbon resides in the ecosystem by killing trees under hot, dry conditions. The effect of temperature is worse above 32{\textdegree}C, and a greater magnitude of climate change thus risks greater loss of tropical forest carbon stocks. Nevertheless, forest carbon stocks are likely to remain higher under moderate climate change if they are protected from direct impacts such as clearance, logging, or fires.Science, this issue p. 869The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (-9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per {\textdegree}C in the hottest forests (>32.2{\textdegree}C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth{\textquoteright}s climate.",
optnote="exported from refbase (http://php.ecofog.gf/refbase/show.php?record=932), last updated on Mon, 08 Feb 2021 14:19:15 -0300",
doi="10.1126/science.aaw7578",
opturl="http://science.sciencemag.org/content/368/6493/869.abstract"
}