TY - JOUR AU - Esquivel-Muelbert, A. AU - Baker, T.R. AU - Dexter, K.G. AU - Lewis, S.L. AU - Brienen, R.J.W. AU - Feldpausch, T.R. AU - Lloyd, J. AU - Monteagudo-Mendoza, A. AU - Arroyo, L. AU - Álvarez-Dávila, E. AU - Higuchi, N. AU - Marimon, B.S. AU - Marimon-Junior, B.H. AU - Silveira, M. AU - Vilanova, E. AU - Gloor, E. AU - Malhi, Y. AU - Chave, J. AU - Barlow, J. AU - Bonal, D. AU - Davila Cardozo, N. AU - Erwin, T. AU - Fauset, S. AU - Hérault, B. AU - Laurance, S. AU - Poorter, L. AU - Qie, L. AU - Stahl, C. AU - Sullivan, M.J.P. AU - ter Steege, H. AU - Vos, V.A. AU - Zuidema, P.A. AU - Almeida, E. AU - Almeida de Oliveira, E. AU - Andrade, A. AU - Vieira, S.A. AU - Aragão, L. AU - Araujo-Murakami, A. AU - Arets, E. AU - Aymard C, G.A. AU - Baraloto, C. AU - Camargo, P.B. AU - Barroso, J.G. AU - Bongers, F. AU - Boot, R. AU - Camargo, J.L. AU - Castro, W. AU - Chama Moscoso, V. AU - Comiskey, J. AU - Cornejo Valverde, F. AU - Lola da Costa, A.C. AU - del Aguila Pasquel, J. AU - Di Fiore, A. AU - Fernanda Duque, L. AU - Elias, F. AU - Engel, J. AU - Flores Llampazo, G. AU - Galbraith, D. AU - Herrera Fernández, R. AU - Honorio Coronado, E. AU - Hubau, W. AU - Jimenez-Rojas, E. AU - Lima, A.J.N. AU - Umetsu, R.K. AU - Laurance, W. AU - Lopez-Gonzalez, G. AU - Lovejoy, T. AU - Aurelio Melo Cruz, O. AU - Morandi, P.S. AU - Neill, D. AU - Núñez Vargas, P. AU - Pallqui Camacho, N.C. AU - Parada Gutierrez, A. AU - Pardo, G. AU - Peacock, J. AU - Peña-Claros, M. AU - Peñuela-Mora, M.C. AU - Petronelli, P. AU - Pickavance, G.C. AU - Pitman, N. AU - Prieto, A. AU - Quesada, C. AU - Ramírez-Angulo, H. AU - Réjou-Méchain, M. AU - Restrepo Correa, Z. AU - Roopsind, A. AU - Rudas, A. AU - Salomão, R. AU - Silva, N. AU - Silva Espejo, J. AU - Singh, J. AU - Stropp, J. AU - Terborgh, J. AU - Thomas, R. AU - Toledo, M. AU - Torres-Lezama, A. AU - Valenzuela Gamarra, L. AU - van de Meer, P.J. AU - van der Heijden, G. AU - van der Hout, P. AU - Vasquez Martinez, R. AU - Vela, C. AU - Vieira, I.C.G. AU - Phillips, O.L. PY - 2019// TI - Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change T2 - Global Change Biol. JO - Global Change Biology SP - 39 EP - 56 VL - 25 IS - 1 PB - Blackwell Publishing Ltd KW - bioclimatic niches KW - climate change KW - compositional shifts KW - functional traits KW - temporal trends KW - tropical forests KW - bioclimatology KW - floristics KW - lowland environment KW - niche KW - temporal variation KW - tropical forest KW - Amazonia KW - carbon dioxide KW - water KW - biodiversity KW - Brazil KW - classification KW - ecosystem KW - forest KW - physiology KW - season KW - tree KW - tropic climate KW - Forests KW - Seasons KW - Trees KW - Tropical Climate N2 - Most of the planet's diversity is concentrated in the tropics, which includes many regions undergoing rapid climate change. Yet, while climate-induced biodiversity changes are widely documented elsewhere, few studies have addressed this issue for lowland tropical ecosystems. Here we investigate whether the floristic and functional composition of intact lowland Amazonian forests have been changing by evaluating records from 106 long-term inventory plots spanning 30 years. We analyse three traits that have been hypothesized to respond to different environmental drivers (increase in moisture stress and atmospheric CO 2 concentrations): maximum tree size, biogeographic water-deficit affiliation and wood density. Tree communities have become increasingly dominated by large-statured taxa, but to date there has been no detectable change in mean wood density or water deficit affiliation at the community level, despite most forest plots having experienced an intensification of the dry season. However, among newly recruited trees, dry-affiliated genera have become more abundant, while the mortality of wet-affiliated genera has increased in those plots where the dry season has intensified most. Thus, a slow shift to a more dry-affiliated Amazonia is underway, with changes in compositional dynamics (recruits and mortality) consistent with climate-change drivers, but yet to significantly impact whole-community composition. The Amazon observational record suggests that the increase in atmospheric CO 2 is driving a shift within tree communities to large-statured species and that climate changes to date will impact forest composition, but long generation times of tropical trees mean that biodiversity change is lagging behind climate change. SN - 13541013 (Issn) UR - https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85056206420&doi=10.1111%2fgcb.14413&partnerID=40&md5=77ab4c09bc1de4fcbe4a7d9f8d0fed64 L1 - http://php.ecofog.gf/refbase/files/esquivel-muelbert/2019/905_Esquivel-Muelbert_etal2019.pdf UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14413 N1 - Cited By :21; Export Date: 6 January 2020; Correspondence Address: Esquivel-Muelbert, A.; School of Geography, University of LeedsUnited Kingdom; email: adriane.esquivel@gmail.com ID - Esquivel-Muelbert_etal2019 ER -