@Article{Hiltner_etal2021,
author="Hiltner, Ulrike
and Huth, Andreas
and H{\'e}rault, Bruno
and Holtmann, Anne
and Brauning, Achim
and Fischer, Rico",
title="Climate change alters the ability of neotropical forests to provide timber and sequester carbon",
journal="Forest Ecology and Management",
year="2021",
publisher="Elsevier B.V.",
volume="492",
pages="119166",
optkeywords="Exploitation foresti{\`e}re",
optkeywords="Changement climatique",
optkeywords="s{\'e}questration du carbone",
optkeywords="Production du bois",
optkeywords="Att{\'e}nuation des effets du changement climatique",
optkeywords="gestion foresti{\`e}re durable",
optkeywords="for{\^e}t tropicale",
optkeywords="R{\'e}gion n{\'e}otropicale",
optkeywords="Biomasse",
optkeywords="biomasse a{\'e}rienne des arbres",
optkeywords="gestion de la sant{\'e} des for{\^e}ts",
optkeywords="mod{\`e}le de croissance foresti{\`e}re",
optkeywords="biodiversit{\'e} foresti{\`e}re",
abstract="Logging is widespread in tropical regions, with approximately 50\% of all humid tropical forests (1.73 {\texttimes} 109 ha) regarded as production forests. To maintain the ecosystem functions of carbon sequestration and timber supply in tropical production forests over a long term, forest management must be sustainable under changing climate conditions. Individual-based forest models are useful tools to enhance our understanding about the long-term effects of harvest and climate change on forest dynamics because they link empirical field data with simulations of ecological processes. The objective of this study is to analyze the combined effects of selective logging and climate change on biomass stocks and timber harvest in a tropical forest in French Guiana. By applying a forest model, we simulated natural forest dynamics under the baseline scenario of current climate conditions and compared the results with scenarios of selective logging under climate change. The analyses revealed how substantially forest dynamics are alteredunder different scenarios of climate change. (1) Repeated logging within recovery times decreased biomass and timber harvest, irrespective of the intensity of climate change. (2) With moderate climate change as envisaged by the 5th IPCC Assessment Report (representative concentration pathway 2.6), the average biomass remained the same as in the baseline scenario (-1\%), but with intensive climate change (RCP 8.5), the average biomass decreased by 12\%. (3) The combination of selective logging and climate change increased the likelihood of changes in forest dynamics, driven mainly by rising temperatures. Under RCP 8.5, the average timber harvest was almost halved, regardless of the logging cycle applied. An application-oriented use of forest models will help to identify opportunities to reduce the effects of unwanted ecosystem changes in a changing environment. To ensure that ecosystem functions in production forests are maintained under climate change conditions, appropriate management strategies will help to maintain biomass and harvest in production forests.",
optnote="exported from refbase (http://php.ecofog.gf/refbase/show.php?record=1016), last updated on Mon, 18 Jul 2022 14:51:04 -0300",
doi="10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119166"
}